7.
The following appeared in a letter to the editor of the Clearview
newspaper. "In the next mayoral election, residents of Clearview
should vote for Ann Green, who is a member of the Good Earth Coalition, rather
than for Frank Braun, a member of the Clearview town
council, because the current members are not protecting our environment. For
example, during the past year the number of factories in Clearview
has doubled, air pollution levels have increased, and the local hospital has
treated 25 percent more patients with respiratory illnesses. If we elect Ann
Green, the environmental problems in Clearview will
certainly be solved."
Merely relied on a series of unfounded assumptions and vague evidence, the
author comes to the unconvincing conclusion that the environmental problems in Clearview will certainly be solved with electing Ann Green.
To strengthen the conclusion, the author asserts that the current members are
not protecting our environment. In addition, the letter sets the examples of
doubled number of factories, increasing levels of air condition, and more
treatment cases of respiratory illnesses in Clearview.
On the surface, the argument appears to be somewhat compelling, however,
neither does the author provide warranted evidence to make the letter sound nor
organize a logic argument in favor of the conclusion. As it stands, the arguer
ignores several important concerns as follows, which must be addressed to
prove.
In the first place, the author uses the statistical relationship between the
claim that residents of Clearview should vote for Ann
Green rather than for Frank Braun and the possible fact that the current
members are not protecting our environment. Nevertheless, the fact upstairs
does necessarily prove that Ann Green should be chosen. Even if the current
members do not protect our environment; it does not show so does Frank Braun.
Maybe he has try his best to protect the environment
but difficultly in place of what harmful things the current do for envirnment. More evidences are needed for it.
In the second place, we need more points of evidence for the examples. First,
see to the fact that the number of factories in Clearview
has doubled during the past year. No more evidence shows that these new
factories pollute the environment. Perhaps, more than 90% of them are little
pollution factories for environment. Second, it is perhaps air pollution from
nearby towns blowing by wind increase air pollution levels of Clearview. Perhaps the air condition is more clearly than
before without the factors of the other cities. In addition, the 25% more
patients of respiratory illnesses dose not show the current members are not
protecting environment. Maybe more than 50% patients are from other cities as a
good condition of respiratory illnesses treatment in this local hospital. So,
until these questions are answered, the examples are worthless as evidences for
the conclusion.
Further more, although the assumptions and examples are truly enough, it does
not show Ann Green should be voted. To choose a leader of city, we need a full
aspect of view in place of if he/she merely taking care of pollution. If Ann
Green has no respect of increasing economic, falls keeping process of education
and so on, how can people choose him/her?
Overall, though the argument seems to be logical and plausible, actually, it is
neither sound nor persuasive. To make the argument more logically acceptable,
the author would have to provide more specific information regarding the
assumptions and examples. With being given factors discussed above, it would
have been more thorough and adequate.
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